UK (Parliament Politics Magazine) – A new poll suggests Reform UK could win 357 seats in the 2029 elections, taking all Conservative constituencies and ending Labour’s dominance in the region.
As reported by the Doncaster Free Press, Nigel Farage’s Reform UK is projected to claim 357 seats in the 2024 general election, taking every Doncaster constituency.
What did the poll suggest about Reform UK’s chances in the next election?
A Stats for Lefties survey indicates Nigel Farage heading to Downing Street with a dominant majority.
According to the poll, Labour MPs Sally Jameson, Ed Miliband, Lee Pitcher, and John Healey could face defeat in Doncaster. It said Labour may hold just 92 seats, a drop of 319 from last year’s election.
The survey indicates Conservatives could be reduced to 27 seats in the House of Commons. Apart from Reform UK, the Liberal Democrats could secure 84 seats, while the SNP could rise to 45.
The study reveals that Jeremy Corbyn’s new party, Your Party, could take 15 seats, troubling Doncaster Labour MPs.
The poll shows Reform UK leading in Doncaster Central with 39% of the vote, while Labour lags at 29%. Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme show a similar pattern, with Farage’s party at 40% and Labour trailing at 25%.
Energy Secretary Ed Miliband faces likely defeat in Doncaster North, with Reform UK polling at 38% against Labour’s 32%. Defence Secretary John Healey in Rawmarsh and Conisbrough could face a tough race, with Farage’s Reform UK leading at 46% and Labour trailing at 31%.
Reform UK’s surge in Doncaster saw them claim 37 council seats, nearly unseating the mayor, falling short by just 700 votes.
What did a More in Common poll reveal about Reform UK?
According to a More in Common poll for Sky News, 28% of Welsh voters support Reform if elections were held tomorrow.
Plaid Cymru follows with 26% support, while Labour lags at 23%. The Tories stand at 10%, the Lib Dems at 7%, the Greens at 4%, and others or independents at 2%.
Last year’s Labour voters show waning support, with just 48% backing them again. Plaid Cymru gains 15%, Reform 11%, and 13% remain undecided.
A total of 883 respondents took part in the survey, representing the Welsh population, conducted between 18 June and 3 July.
What did the Welsh First Minister say about Reform UK’s rise?
Welsh First Minister Eluned Morgan stated,
“We think the threat from Reform is a very serious threat. I think it is important that people recognise that things that we see every day in our lives in Wales may be snatched away from us, and the kind of stability that we’ve had for a long time.”
She said,
“We’ve got a lot of work to do to get voters back” ahead of the May 2026 Senedd (Welsh parliament) elections – something backed up by exclusive polling that reveals Reform is beating Welsh Labour, who have been in power in the Senedd since 1999.”
Ms Morgan stated that she will not
“chase Reform down a path… because those aren’t my values. What we’ll be doing is offering a very clear alternative, which is about bringing communities together.”
She added,
“I think we’ve got to lead with our values so we’re about bringing communities together, not dividing them, and I do think that’s what reform is interested in is dividing people, and people do need to make choices on things like that.”
What did Luke Tryl say about Nigel Farage’s PM chances?
Luke Tryl, the executive director of More in Common UK, stated,
“Only 13 per cent of Britons are confident Keir Starmer will remain in post after the next election, while a striking 41 per cent say they simply don’t know what the next elected government will look like.”
He said,
“In fact, the public rate Nigel Farage’s chances of becoming prime minister as highly as those of the current PM, with Reform voters particularly convinced their man will be walking into Downing Street.”
Mr Tryl added,
“It’s yet another sign of the Reform leader’s ability to cast a political shadow far larger than his party’s presence in Westminster.”