UK (Parliament Politics Magazine) – Survation poll for LabourList shows 53% of Labour members want a new leader before the next election, with only 31% backing Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer.
As reported by Sky News, a survey reveals a majority of Labour members oppose Sir Keir Starmer leading the next election.
Labour members’ views on Keir Starmer’s leadership
A recent Survation poll for LabourList revealed 53% of members want a new leader, while only 31% support Sir Keir Starmer continuing until the next election.
The survey, conducted between 23 and 25 September with 1,254 members, highlighted growing concerns over the party’s leadership. About 65% said Mr Starmer was heading Labour in the wrong direction, while just over 26% believed he was on the right track.
Over 60% of participants said his governance was poor, while 35% said Mr Starmer performed well.
What did YouGov’s poll say about the next election?
A recent YouGov MRP projection, based on a survey of 13,000 people over three weeks, indicates Britain is heading for a hung parliament. Nigel Farage’s Reform UK is projected to secure 311 of the 650 seats, just 15 short of the 326 needed for a majority.
According to the survey, Labour could secure only 144 seats, while the Liberal Democrats could climb to 78. The projection gives 45 seats to the Conservatives, 37 to the SNP, seven to the Greens, six to Plaid Cymru, and three to smaller left-wing candidates.
The projections forecast Labour would lose nearly two-thirds of its seats, a sharp decline from the 411 secured in last year’s general election.
Ipsos poll about Labour, Reform, and Tory support
A new Ipsos survey shows Reform UK leading Labour by 12 points in Westminster voting, polling at 34%, while Labour drops to 22%, a three-point fall since last month.
The survey of over 1,100 adults, conducted in the week to September 17 after the resignations of Angela Rayner and Lord Mandelson, revealed Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer as the least popular on record.
Only 13% of participants expressed satisfaction with Mr Starmer’s government, while 79% are dissatisfied, resulting in a net score of -66.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves has a net satisfaction rating of -56, reflecting low public approval.
The survey asked who would be the most suitable candidate for prime minister: 25% chose Nigel Farage, 19% Sir Keir Starmer, 9% Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch, while 31% were undecided.
Just 63% of Labour supporters see Mr Starmer as prime minister, while 5% choose Mr Farage.
Only 14% of voters said they would back the Tories at the next election, marking the party’s lowest support since Ipsos began polling.
Ms Badenoch has an approval rating of -47, with only 44% of Tory voters seeing her as the best choice for prime minister, while 11% favor Mr Farage.
What did Gideon Skinner say about Labour’s decline and Reform’s rise?
Gideon Skinner, director of UK politics at Ipsos, stated,
“Keir Starmer’s personal satisfaction rating shows the scale of the task facing him amid growing talk of a leadership challenge.”
He said,
“Labour’s share of the vote is the lowest we have recorded since 2009 and has dipped three points since June, following a difficult start to the autumn in which he lost his deputy prime minister and his ambassador to the US.”
Mr Skinner stated,
“But Labour’s issues are deeper than changes in personnel – they are losing votes to both Left and Right, with the public still pessimistic about the state of the economy, immigration and public services, despite his planned relaunch to put a renewed focus on delivery.”
He said,
“Reform’s 12-point lead confirms the party’s strong performance this year, helped by ongoing public concern over immigration but also wider discontent over the state of the nation, allowing Reform to take on the mantle of change.”
Mr Skinner added,
“There is no sign of a revival for the Conservatives, who still bump along at the lowest vote share we have ever recorded for the party, raising further questions about Kemi Badenoch’s ability to cut through.”
What did Luke Tryl say about Nigel Farage’s chances of becoming PM?
Luke Tryl, the executive director of More in Common UK, stated,
“Only 13 per cent of Britons are confident Keir Starmer will remain in post after the next election, while a striking 41 per cent say they simply don’t know what the next elected government will look like.”
He said,
“In fact, the public rate Nigel Farage’s chances of becoming prime minister as highly as those of the current PM, with Reform voters particularly convinced their man will be walking into Downing Street.”
Mr Tryl added,
“It’s yet another sign of the Reform leader’s ability to cast a political shadow far larger than his party’s presence in Westminster.”