Presidential Election: a debate not decisive, news and poll results

PARIS (Parliament Politics Magazine) – French presidential election 2022: Four days before the second round of the 2022 presidential election, Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen will face each other in the inter-round debate, this Wednesday, April 20, 2022. Enough to shake up favourable polls to the outgoing head of state?

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The Essentials

  1. D-4 before the 2nd round of the 2022 presidential election. If, for the time being, Emmanuel Macron is given the winner in his match against Marine Le Pen, nothing seems to have been definitively decided yet.
  2. This Wednesday, April 20, the two candidates will face off during the 2022 inter-round debate , organised from 9 p.m. and broadcast on TF1 and France 2. A decisive campaign moment that Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen did not prepare in the same way.
  3. The result of the latest poll conducted by Ipsos-Sopra Steria, published this Wednesday in Le Monde, credits Emmanuel Macron with 56% of the vote against 44% for Marine Le Pen, out of a panel of more than 7,500 people. This survey shows that the debate between the two rounds is not decisive: around 90% of people wishing to vote for one of the candidates are already “sure” of their choice.
  4. Tuesday evening, on BFM TV, Jean-Luc Mélenchon called on the French to elect him Prime Minister by voting en masse in the legislative elections in favour of La France insoumise. A majority of LFI deputies would force the next president, whoever he is, to choose a Prime Minister from this political side.
  5. This morning, three executive vice-presidents of the Reconquête! Eric Zemmour called for a “coalition of rights and patriots” for the legislative elections, in a tribune of Le Figaro. A call reiterated by Marion Maréchal, guest of BFMTV, who wants to make Reconquest! “the ideological compass of the right”.

Three vice-presidents of Reconquest call for “a coalition of rights and patriots” in the legislative elections

“It will be necessary to be able to build a presidential majority around Marine Le Pen or to impose cohabitation on Emmanuel Macron in order to prevent him from having full legislative powers for the next five years”, point out Marion Maréchal, Guillaume Peltier and Nicolas Bay in a column published this morning in Le Figaro. For the three executive vice-presidents of the Reconquest movement of Eric Zemmour, “it would be delusional to think that this majority can be reached without alliances”.Consequently, they “call for a grand coalition of right-wingers and patriots for these legislative elections which would associate the Reconquête party of Eric Zemmour, the National Rally, all the LR candidates or various right-wingers who do not want to become substitute deputies of the majority of Emmanuel Macron as well as Debout la France.”

What report of votes from Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s voters in the 2nd round?

This is one of the important data of this presidential election: who will vote for the voters who chose Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the first round of the 2022 presidential election? According to the Ipsos Sopra Steria survey for Le Monde, 36% indicate that they will vote this Sunday for Emmanuel Macron, it is still 8 points more in two weeks; 19% intend to vote for Marine Le Pen and 45%, for the time being, indicate that they will not vote or that they will vote blank or null.

The French more determined in the 2nd round of the 2022 presidential election than in the 1st

The Ipsos-Sopra Steria study, carried out in partnership with Cevipof and the Jean Jaurès Foundation for “Le Monde”, is certainly the most solid and methodologically robust carried out in the intervening rounds of this presidential election. We learn that if the French, if they are in the minority this Sunday to carry out a vote of conviction, are on the other hand more decided on their vote, 4 days before the first round. Thus 93% of respondents indicating that they will vote for Emmanuel Macron are “sure” of their choice than 89% of those who intend to vote Marine le Pen are. 43% of people indicating that they want to vote blank also say that they can change their mind. The balance of power established by the poll of voting intentions therefore seems very solid for this second round of the 2022 presidential election.

New poll: Emmanuel Macron given 56% against Marine Le Pen

A new poll on the second round of the 2022 presidential election was published this Wednesday, April 20. Produced by Ipsos-Sopra Steria for Le Monde, it gives Emmanuel Macron the winner of the ballot with 56% of the votes cast, against 44% for Marine Le Pen. This new survey confirms the current trend at four days of the vote which would again bring the outgoing head of state to power with a lead of ten points over his competitor.

Day of debate between Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen

The debate between the two rounds of the 2022 presidential election is fast approaching. It is this Wednesday, April 20, 2022, from 9 p.m., that Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen will face each other live on television, mainly on TF1 and France 2, to defend their project and try to convince a majority of voters to (re)bring them to power.