What is Starmer’s UK-EU Trade Deal 2025? An In-Depth Analysis

What is Starmer’s UK-EU Trade Dea2025? An In-Depth Analysis
Credit: Carl Court/PA

The 2025 UK-EU trade deal, announced at a London summit on May 19, marks the most significant reset of relations between the United Kingdom and the European Union since Brexit. After years of economic friction, political wrangling, and public debate, this agreement aims to address many of the practical issues that have plagued businesses and citizens on both sides of the Channel. Below is a comprehensive analysis of the deal, including all available statistics, facts, figures, political reactions, and key statements.

Background and Context

Since the UK formally left the EU in 2020, trade and cooperation between the two sides have been governed by the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA). However, this arrangement led to significant friction, particularly for food exporters, manufacturers, and travelers. UK exports to the EU fell by 21% and imports by 7% since Brexit, according to government data, with small businesses and the food sector hit especially hard. Negotiations for a “reset” began in earnest after Prime Minister Keir Starmer took office in July 2024, promising a pragmatic, growth-focused approach.

Key Provisions of the 2025 Trade Deal

1. Food and Agricultural Trade

  • Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) Agreement:
    The deal introduces a new SPS agreement, designed to eliminate much of the red tape and paperwork that had previously hampered food and drink exports and imports. Some routine checks on animal and plant products will be removed entirely, including those between Great Britain and Northern Ireland.
  • Impact:
    The government claims this will lower food prices, increase supermarket choice, and put more money in consumers’ pockets. It also restores the ability for UK producers to export products like burgers and sausages to the EU, which had been restricted since Brexit.
  • Economic Boost:
    The SPS and emissions trading measures together are projected to add nearly £9 billion to the UK economy by 2040.

2. Trade and Industrial Measures

  • Steel Industry Protections:
    British steel exports are shielded from new EU tariffs and restrictive rules, saving the industry £25 million per year.
  • Emissions Trading Link:
    The UK and EU will link their Emissions Trading Systems, improving energy security and sparing UK firms from an £800 million annual carbon tax that would have gone to the EU budget.

3. Fishing Rights

  • 12-Year Reciprocal Access:
    The agreement grants EU fishing vessels continued access to UK waters for 12 years, in exchange for improved UK food export terms. This is a longer period than the UK government originally sought, and it reduces the UK’s leverage in future negotiations.
  • Support for Coastal Communities:
    The UK will launch a £360 million investment fund for coastal areas to help offset any negative impacts.

4. Travel and Citizens’ Rights

  • eGates for UK Travelers:
    British passport holders will be able to use more automated eGates at EU airports, reducing border wait times. The specific countries implementing this are yet to be announced.
  • Pet Passports:
    The deal reinstates pet passports for UK cats and dogs, eliminating the need for costly animal health certificates for each trip.

5. Defense and Security Cooperation

  • Joint Procurement and Defense Fund:
    The UK will participate in a €150 billion (£125 billion) EU defense fund, giving British firms like BAE, Rolls-Royce, and Babcock access to major contracts and joint procurement projects.
  • Enhanced Law Enforcement Data Sharing:
    The UK will enter talks for access to EU facial recognition databases, supplementing existing DNA, fingerprint, and vehicle registration data sharing.

6. Youth Mobility Scheme

  • Preliminary Framework:
    The UK has agreed to a preliminary framework for a restricted youth mobility scheme, with details to be finalized. Talks are also ongoing about rejoining the Erasmus+ student exchange program.

Economic and Trade Data

  • UK-EU Trade Volumes (2025 Q1):
    • Total exports: £227.2 billion
    • Total imports: £233.8 billion
    • Goods exports to EU: £42.4 billion (up 1.1% from previous quarter)
    • Goods imports from EU: £77.2 billion (down 0.5%)
  • Service Trade:
    • Services exports to the EU rose by 3.4% in Q1 2025.
  • Potential for Further Gains:
    • Analysis suggests that deeper regulatory alignment could boost UK GDP by 1.7% to 2.2%, recovering up to half of the economic hit caused by Brexit.
    • For the EU, closer cooperation could increase exports by $29.7 billion, nearly matching the UK’s potential $32.9 billion gain.

Political Reactions and Statements

UK Government and Supporters

  • Prime Minister Keir Starmer:
    “Good for jobs, good for bills, and good for our borders.”
    “It’s time to look forward. To move on from the stale old debates and political fights to find common sense, practical solutions which get the best for the British people.”
  • Nick Thomas-Symonds (British Minister):
    Called it a “historic day,” saying the deal “puts Britain back on the world stage” and is “advantageous for employment, will decrease costs, and fortify borders”.

Opposition and Critics

  • Kemi Badenoch (Conservative Leader):
    Called the deal “very concerning,” saying 12 years of EU access for fishing is “three times longer than the government wanted.” Warned that the UK is “becoming a rule-taker from Brussels once again”.
  • Richard Tice (Reform UK MP):
    Accused Starmer of “betraying British fishing interests” and pledged to repeal the deal if his party wins the next election.
  • Liberal Democrats:
    Welcomed the deal as a “positive first step” toward mending relations with Europe, but criticized delays on the youth mobility scheme.

Broader Economic and Strategic Implications

  • Business Confidence and Investment:
    The deal is expected to boost business confidence and attract investment, following similar agreements with India and the US earlier in the month.
  • Competitiveness and Growth:
    Both the UK and EU see the agreement as a way to enhance competitiveness and address shared challenges, including energy security and global instability.
  • No Return to Free Movement:
    The government has ruled out a return to free movement, single market, or customs union membership, but acknowledges that the new arrangements will not fully replicate the benefits of EU membership.

The 2025 UK-EU trade deal is a pragmatic attempt to repair and modernize the UK’s relationship with its largest trading partner. By addressing key friction points-especially in food trade, border controls, and industrial cooperation-the agreement aims to restore economic growth, lower costs for consumers, and improve the everyday experiences of businesses and citizens. While it has been welcomed by many as a necessary step forward, critics argue that some concessions-particularly on fishing and regulatory alignment-go too far. The true test will be in the implementation and whether the promised economic and social benefits materialize in the years ahead

Beth Malcolm

Beth Malcolm is Scottish based Journalist at Heriot-Watt University studying French and British Sign Language. She is originally from the north west of England but is living in Edinburgh to complete her studies.