UK (Parliament Politics Magazine) – A recent survey shows most Tory members expect their party may support a Reform UK government led by Nigel Farage.
As reported by The Independent, a new poll revealed that many Conservative members widely anticipate their party will support a Reform UK government led by Nigel Farage.
What did the survey say about Tory members backing Nigel Farage?
A survey of Tory members by ConHome shows Conservative members expect their party to collaborate with Reform UK despite clashes between party leaderships.
The survey shows that 53.9% of participants expect Nigel Farage to be likely or highly likely to become prime minister after the general election, with 15.7% saying highly likely and 38% saying likely.
When questioned about the type of government needed to keep Mr Farage’s Reform UK in power, 24.4% supported a coalition with the Tories, while 45% preferred a confidence-and-supply pact.
The survey found that almost 70% of Tories intend to support Mr Farage in reaching Downing Street, while 25% believe he will win a majority and not need their assistance.
The latest surveys show the Tories may be on the verge of losing heavily in the next election.
Polling circulating inside Tory ranks, leaked to The Daily Telegraph, shows the party could win only 14 seats amid questions over Kemi Badenoch’s leadership.
Despite facing high-profile defections, Ms Badenoch has rejected an alliance with Reform UK and criticized its policies.
Mr Farage’s party has also attacked the Tories and insisted that any deal between the parties is impossible.
Reform UK deputy leader Zia Yusuf dismissed any alliance.
He added,
“The Tory party is dead. As is being proven in elections around the country, a vote for the Tories is a wasted vote. They will be annihilated again in May, and cease to be a national party. Anyone who wants secure borders, the deportation of illegals and to keep out the radical left must vote Reform.”
The Tories have refused to comment, but the survey also indicated that two-thirds of the 590 party members polled expect further high-profile defections.
ConHome editor Giles Dilnot stated,
“Nothing in politics is truly inevitable, but amongst Tory party members a picture of the future is starting to form.”
He added,
“We don’t know if it’s a picture they want, or a picture they simply see as the most likely reality. They say a week is a long time in politics, and there’s years to go yet, but for the Tory leader the picture painted is pretty stark.”
What did Luke Tryl say about Nigel Farage’s chances of becoming Prime Minister?
Luke Tryl, the executive director of More in Common UK, said,
“Only 13 per cent of Britons are confident Keir Starmer will remain in post after the next election, while a striking 41 per cent say they simply don’t know what the next elected government will look like.”
He added,
“In fact, the public rate Nigel Farage’s chances of becoming prime minister as highly as those of the current PM, with Reform voters particularly convinced their man will be walking into Downing Street. It’s yet another sign of the Reform leader’s ability to cast a political shadow far larger than his party’s presence in Westminster.”
What did the YouGov poll show about the next UK election?
A recent YouGov survey shows that Reform UK is projected to win 311 seats, just 15 short of a parliamentary majority. It predicts Labour would drop to 144 seats, losing heavily to Reform UK and other parties.
The survey also reveals that the Conservatives would be reduced to 45 seats, falling behind the Liberal Democrats, who are projected to win 78 seats.
