Stalling Progress: Poverty Edges Up in Labour’s First Year

The first comprehensive statistical portrait of poverty under the current Labour administration has arrived, bringing with it a sobering reality for a government that campaigned on the promise of national renewal and economic stability. According to the latest Households Below Average Income (HBAI) data released on this week, poverty levels in the United Kingdom have experienced a slight but significant increase during the first full year of the Labour government.

Despite a backdrop of cooling inflation and a series of targeted policy interventions, the numbers suggest that the structural roots of British deprivation remain deeply entrenched, leaving millions of households struggling to afford the most basic necessities of life.

The data, which covers the 2024/25 financial year, reveals that the number of people living in poverty rose by approximately 0.5 million when compared to the 2023/24 period on a like-for-like basis. This brings the total number of individuals living in poverty to 13.4 million, representing one in five people across the UK. For a government that has staked its reputation on improving the material conditions of the working class, these figures represent a formidable political and social challenge. While the administration can point to the long-term nature of economic recovery, the immediate pressure to accelerate the “Plan for Change” has never been more acute.

Central to understanding these figures is a landmark shift in how the British state measures deprivation. This year marks the most significant change in data collection methods in a generation, as the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) has begun linking Family Resources Survey responses directly with official government benefit records. This technical evolution aims to close the persistent gap between the benefits individuals report receiving and the actual amounts recorded in government systems. While the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF) has welcomed this move toward greater accuracy, they have been quick to point out that better measurement does not equate to better living standards. Indeed, the new methodology has led to a downward revision of historical poverty rates, but it simultaneously exposes a worrying trend of “flat-lining” progress that masks the daily trauma experienced by those at the bottom of the income distribution.

The stagnation is perhaps most visible in the figures surrounding child poverty. Despite the rhetoric of a new era, 4 million children were found to be living in poverty in 2024/25, a figure that remains unchanged from the previous year. This lack of movement is a source of significant concern for social campaigners, who argue that the delay in systemic reform has left a generation of children in precarious circumstances. Peter Matejic, Chief Analyst at the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, noted that while the government’s decision to remove the two-child benefit limit from April 2026 is a “much-needed improvement” that is expected to lift hundreds of thousands out of poverty, current projections suggest that progress may stall shortly thereafter. Without further intervention, the ambition to drastically reduce child poverty remains more of a manifesto commitment than a statistical reality.

Pensioners, too, have seen their financial security slip. The data shows a 200,000-person rise in pensioner poverty, a trend that critics suggest may be linked to the transition periods of various energy support schemes and the lag in benefit adjustments relative to the true cost of living for the elderly. For a group that is often on a fixed income, even marginal increases in essential costs can be devastating. This rise in elderly deprivation adds another layer of complexity to the government’s domestic agenda, particularly as the NHS continues to face pressures from an aging population living in increasingly poor conditions.

The human cost of these statistics is most viscerally felt in the realm of food security. While there has been a marginal, “welcome fall” in the number of people facing hunger, the figures remain staggeringly high. Some 3.1 million people in the UK currently live with very low food security, meaning they have gone hungry because they simply do not have enough money for food. This level of deprivation is still over 40% higher than it was in 2021/22, highlighting the long shadow cast by the recent cost-of-living crisis. The persistence of high food bank usage suggests that for many, the “safety net” has become a permanent floor rather than a temporary support. This reality clashes directly with the government’s commitment to ending mass dependence on emergency food aid, suggesting that current policies are not yet reaching the depths of the crisis.

Geographically, the map of UK poverty remains a patchwork of deep inequality. London continues to hold the unenviable title of the region with the highest poverty rates, driven in large part by the exorbitant cost of housing in the capital. Both London and Wales saw increases in both overall and child poverty over the last year. Conversely, there were glimmers of hope in the West Midlands and the South West, which both recorded modest reductions. Northern Ireland remains the area with the lowest poverty levels, though even there, the figures remain high by historical standards. This regional variance underscores the need for localised economic strategies, such as those focusing on social enterprise and community ownership, to ensure that wealth stays within the communities that generate it.

When examining household incomes more broadly, a troubling divergence emerges. While median household incomes rose across most of the distribution between 2023/24 and 2024/25 after adjusting for inflation, the bottom 10% of households: the “bottom decile”: saw their incomes fall after housing costs were taken into account. For these families, incomes remain below 2021/22 levels, suggesting that the “rising tide” of the UK’s modest economic growth is failing to lift all boats. In fact, for the very poorest, the tide appears to be receding. This disparity points to a widening gap between those who can benefit from a stabilising economy and those who are locked out by debt, low-quality housing, or the complexities of the benefits system.

Alistair Thompson

Alistair Thompson is the Director of Team Britannia PR and a journalist.