UK (Parliament Politic Magazine) – A mega-poll predicts a massive defeat for Tories, potentially reducing them to 80 MPs, with Labour expected to secure 254 seats
A mega-poll foreshadows a massive loss for the Tories, potentially failing over three-quarters of their seats. The survey indicates that Rishi Sunak could be left with just 80 MPs, drawing the party’s worst result in history.
The poll also predicts that 17 Cabinet ministers will lose their seats, including Grant Shapps, Penny Mordaunt, Gillian Keegan, and Mel Stride. According to the Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus poll, Labour, led by Sir Keir Starmer, is expected to win big with an unprecedented majority of 254 seats.
This victory would outperform even Tony Blair’s historic win in 1997. The poll reveals Labour leading with 42% support, a 20-point lead over the Conservatives at 22%. Voters identified health, the economy, and immigration as the country’s most critical issues.
Nationalizing utility businesses and building more homes were among the most popular possible election policies. Over the past three weeks, the pollsters surveyed 18,151 people, nine times the number typically observed. The MRP method, which accurately foretells the 2017 and 2019 elections, was used to cast the results in individual constituencies.
A recent poll proposes that Labour will gain 452 seats in the upcoming election, leaving the Tories with only 80 after a loss of 285. Some ministers who could be ousted include Claire Coutinho, Victoria Pentis, John Glen, Johnny Mercer, and Simon Hart.
The poll also displayed that James Cleverly, Kemi Badenoch, Tom Tugendhat, Michael Gove, and Jeremy Hunt are Cabinet Ministers likely to keep their seats. The Lib Dems could see an increase to 53 seats, while the SNP may slightly fall to 40, and the Greens obtaining two seats.
Founder of Electoral Calculus, Martin Baxter, remarked: “The public seems even more disenchanted with the Conservatives under Rishi Sunak than they were with John Major in 1997. A Labour landslide looks increasingly likely, and Labour voters want nationalization, increased public spending, and higher taxes.”
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He said, “The next election could seismically impact British politics as the recent Conservative era crashes to a close.” A General Election must occur by January next year at the latest. However, there is speculation that Mr. Sunak may call one in May or autumn. This poll is based on interviews with 18,151 adults in Britain performed online from January 24 to February 12 by Find Out Now.